The Thought Refuse

A Virtual Repository for the Mind

Live Blogging Election Night

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1:26 EST: That lost steam.  Obama wins.

8:13 EST: NBC News is projecting Pennsylvania to be won by Obama.  PA was a huge battleground state where McCain spent a good portion of his campaign time and money into during the latter stages of the race, essentially putting his hopes in PA.  NBC has also called NH, IL, MA, CT, NJ, DC, and MD for Obama, while giving McCain OK, TN, and SC.  That puts the electoral votes at Obama: 103 McCain: 34.

7:43 EST: Fox News calls West Virginia for McCain.  Electoral votes: McCain 13.  Obama 3.  West Virginia went Republican in the last two elections, so no surprise there.

7:39 EST: Mark Warner(D) wins Senate seat in Virginia.  Both Senators from Virginia are now Democrats.

Why does Fox News Maine vote count show 2 for Obama and 1 for McCain?  That’s either wrong or one really tiny precinct or just disinterested.

7:34 EST: CNN can’t add.  Reports Florida is currently 48% Obama 34% McCain with less then 1% reporting .  Maybe Bob Barr has snagged the other 18%, or CNN needs to hire mathematicians.  Either way, their going to get back to us on that.

7:27 EST: Fox News is still pumping the fraudulent vote scenario almost exclusively centered around provisional ballots.  Even ran a story of a “placeholder” lawsuit filed against the Democratic Secretary of State in Ohio.  It’s comforting to know the Republicans have prepared the possibility of losing and have a Plan B.

7:23 EST: Karl Rove has passed Fox News “Fair and Balanced” vetting process.  He must have to be the Fox News election night analyst.

7:19 EST: Humorous or not so humorous anecdote.  The register bookkeeper at my polling station had the same name as my mother.  Someone please track down Zolar so he can tell me what this means.

7:14 EST: Is it just me or does Kelly O’Donnell look like a female version of John McCain.  It would explain why NBC assigned her to cover the McCain campaign.

7:09 EST: Fox News is again prefacing their early exit numbers as potentially unreliable.  Megan Kelly makes the blanket statement that Democrats underperform in general.  She went from Obama to all Democrats.  Brit Hume pitches in alongside Kelly.  Fair and balanced.

Why don’t they just say, “The news we’re bringing you is total crap and you shouldn’t listen to any of it.  We don’t even know why we’re reporting it.  It’s reliable enough to report, but the numbers are in the tank for Obama.”

FOX News calls Kentucky for McCain and Vermont for Obama.  Hume chuckles that McCain is leading in electoral votes.  Can’t tell if that was a “enjoy it while it lasts” laugh or a “suck it Democrats” laugh.

7:04 EST: Next polls close at 8 PM EST in AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, and IL.

7:03 EST: NBC reports Kentucky for McCain and Vermont for Obama are the first two states called.  Electoral votes: McCain – 8 Obama – 3.  Nothing surprising here really.  Both states are heavily partisan.  Georgia and Indiana are too close to call.  Georgia is important as it’s historically been heavily Republican.  An Obama steal there would be an upset.

6:56 EST: First polls close in about 5 minutes, and we’ll have a good idea where the first states fall – Obama or McCain.

6:05 EST: Early exit polls show that 82% of Clinton supporters cast their vote for Obama with only 16% for McCain.  That’s a tiny looking PUMA.

6:04 EST: Fox News Megan Kelly again has to preface the early exit poll numbers by stating that “Obama underperforms his poll numbers.”  Poll numbers have historically been dead on within a few percentage points, the lone exception being in 2000.  But I doubt Fox News and Megan Kelly were questioning the early exit poll numbers for Bush.

6:01 EST: Fox News is already setting up the counter for a possible Obama win by devoting numerous stories on potential voter fraud.  Running a story right now about the provisional ballots in Ohio and then making mention of ACORN.

Unless Obama wins in a landslide, look for the right to refuse acknowledge a slim Obama win, and focus almost exclusively on voter fraud.  And not just in a single state like in 2004.  This will be a selected battle fought in any state remotely close that gives McCain the needed electoral votes.

5:55 EST: Numerous callers have contacted CNN noting they received anonymous text messages telling them that due to long wait times, they are directed to not vote today and instead show up tomorrow.  CNN suggests that these messages were received by Obama supporters.

If that’s the case, someone with access to an Obama campaign call list would have to have originated the text message scheme.

5:48 EST: In Indiana, Ohio, and Virginia McCain is slightly favored over Obama with white men according to early exit polls.  Also, late deciders in the same respective states favored Obama by about 5-10% points.

It’s of note that a Democrat hasn’t won Virginia in some 40 odd years which makes the previous poll numbers all the more startling, and Obama might break that trend this election.

5:44 EST: Fox News Megan Kelly, reporting exit polls numbers, felt compelled to point out that Obama’s underperforms his poll numbers.  As if she felt the need to marginalize the early exit polls favoring Obama.  Is she trying to persuade those who haven’t voted yet to not fall under the charm of numbers?

As Colbert jokingly noted, the numbers are in the tank for Obama.

5:39 EST: Early exit polls shows the overwhelming issue for is the economy.  62% put the economy as the top issue in deciding which candidate to cast their vote for.  The next issue of concern is the Iraqi War at only 10%.

Again, as I made posts previously, the economy is what might win the election for Obama, and judging by early exit polls that seems to be the case.

5:35 EST: Early exit polls are in and the results, however preliminary, look favorable to Obama.

New voter registration in Indiana, Ohio, and Virginia show an overwhelming percentage casting their vote in favor of Obama.  Indiana 73% Obama, 27% McCain.  Ohio 69% Obama, 31% McCain.  Virginia 63% Obama, 36% McCain.

This is indicative of the effectiveness of Obama’s efforts to encourage new voter registration.

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Written by huxbux

November 4, 2008 at 6:36 pm

One Response

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  1. […] Live Blogging The Presidential Election 5:39 EST: Early exit polls shows the overwhelming issue for is the economy.  62% put the economy as the top issue in deciding which candidate to cast their vote for.  The next issue of concern is the Iraqi War at only 10%. Again, as I made posts previously, the economy is what might win the election for Obama, and judging by early exit polls that seems to be the case. 5:35 EST: Early exit polls are in and the results, however preliminary, look favorable to Obama. New voter registration in I […]


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